Pay-Per-Outcome · No Subscription

Stop Running Inventory
on Gut Feel

AI-powered demand analysis for manufacturing SMBs. Seasonal patterns, safety stock gaps, and stockout risk — quantified by SKU, with actionable numbers you can act on this week.

$199
One-time · Delivered within 24–48 hours · Full report yours to keep
Get My Demand Forecast → Secure checkout via Stripe · 30-day money-back guarantee
6
Analysis dimensions
8–15
Actionable findings typical
24–48h
Delivery after intake
$0
Software subscription needed
What We Analyze

6 Dimensions. Every SKU.

We go beyond a single forecast number. Each SKU gets a full picture — variability, seasonality, buffer sizing, and what happens if your supplier is late.

📈
Demand Variability
Coefficient of variation by SKU. Flag volatile items that need larger safety stock buffers vs. stable items you can lean out.
🌊
Seasonal Decomposition
Identify peak/trough patterns, quantify seasonal amplitude, and flag SKUs where current ordering ignores seasonality entirely.
🛡️
Safety Stock Optimization
Calculate target safety stock levels using your actual lead times and demand variance. Show where you're over- and under-stocked.
⚠️
Stockout Probability
Per-SKU stockout risk score for the next 90 days based on current inventory, lead times, and demand trend. Ranked by revenue at risk.
⏱️
Lead Time Buffers
What happens to stockout risk if your suppliers are 20% late? Model the impact and set reorder points that survive typical variability.
💰
Carrying Cost Analysis
Identify SKUs where excess safety stock is costing more than the stockout risk they're hedging. Reduce working capital without increasing risk.
Example Findings

Specific. Quantified. Yours.

Every finding references your actual SKU data. Here's the kind of output you receive:

CRITICAL VERIFIED SKU-1042 (Hydraulic Seal Kit): 87% Stockout Probability Next 60 Days
Current inventory: 240 units. Avg monthly demand: 180 units. Lead time: 45 days. At current burn rate you'll reach zero in 40 days — 5 days before your next order could arrive. No safety stock buffer exists for this SKU. Revenue at risk: ~$62K/month if stocked out.
→ Emergency order recommended now. Target safety stock: 135 units (0.75 months × demand). Reorder point: 270 units.
HIGH ESTIMATE Q4 Demand Spike Unplanned: 3 SKUs with 60%+ Seasonal Lift
SKUs 2014, 2015, and 2016 show consistent Q4 demand 60–80% above annual average (prior year data). Current ordering patterns treat these as flat-demand items. Estimated unmet demand last Q4: ~$85K based on provided sales data.
→ Begin Q4 pre-build by September. Order 1.6× your normal monthly quantity for August–September delivery. [ESTIMATE based on 1 year of data — validate with 2+ years if available]
MEDIUM ESTIMATE 12 SKUs Over-Stocked: $34K Excess Carrying Cost Annually
12 low-velocity SKUs hold 8–18 months of inventory. At your estimated 25% annual holding cost, you're paying ~$34K/year to store stock that's not at meaningful stockout risk. These SKUs average 0.8 CV — highly predictable demand.
→ Reduce reorder quantities for these 12 SKUs by 40%. Redirect freed working capital to higher-risk, higher-velocity items.
Process

From Purchase to Report in 24–48 Hours

1
Pay & Get Your Link
$199 via Stripe. Immediately redirected to your private intake workspace — no account required, link is yours.
2
AI-Guided Intake
Our AI collects context about your business. Upload a CSV with SKU data or enter manually. Takes 10–20 minutes.
3
AI Agent Analyzes
Our agent runs demand pattern analysis, safety stock calculations, and stockout risk scoring across all 6 dimensions.
4
Human Review
A supply chain analyst reviews findings before delivery. No AI output goes to you without a human checkpoint.
5
Interactive Report
Private report URL with filterable findings, forecast table, and PDF download. Yours to share with your team.
Data Requirements

What You Bring to the Intake

The more data you provide, the more precise the findings. Minimum required: SKU list, current inventory, and rough monthly demand.

Data Point Required? What It Unlocks
SKU ID & product name ✓ Required All findings
Current inventory (units) ✓ Required Stockout probability scoring
Average monthly demand ✓ Required Safety stock & reorder point calculations
Lead time (days) ✓ Required Lead time buffer analysis
Quarterly demand breakdown (Q1–Q4) Recommended Seasonal decomposition, Q4 pre-build
Unit cost Recommended Revenue at risk, carrying cost analysis
Reorder point & existing safety stock Optional Benchmark vs. calculated optimal levels

Don't have everything? Bring what you have. The AI will note where estimates substitute for missing data and label confidence accordingly.

Transparency

Every Finding Is Labeled

Forecasting models can be confidently wrong. We label every output so you know what's backed by your data vs. modeled assumptions.

VERIFIED
Calculated directly from data you provided. High confidence — act on these first.
ESTIMATE
Modeled from your data + industry benchmarks. Use for prioritization; validate before major capital decisions.
SEEK EXPERT ADVICE
Regulatory, accounting, or custom demand models. Consult a qualified analyst before acting on these.

Disclaimer: This is an AI-generated analysis. Not financial, accounting, or procurement consulting advice. Forecasts are estimates based on provided data and statistical models. Validate findings with your operations team before making significant inventory or capital decisions.

Know Which SKUs Will Stock Out Before They Do

$199. One report. Delivered in 24–48 hours. Your inventory decisions are only as good as your forecasting.

Get My Demand Forecast →
Secure checkout · 30-day money-back guarantee · Results in 24–48 hours
Related Products
Need a fuller picture of your supply chain?
Pair this with a risk assessment or benchmark against peers.
Risk Assessment — $149 Procurement Benchmarks — $129 Pro Subscription — $149/mo
Questions

FAQ

How many SKUs can I include?
Up to 500 SKUs per report. For larger catalogs, contact us — we can run the analysis in batches.
Do I need historical sales data?
Monthly demand averages and quarterly breakdowns are enough to get meaningful findings. If you have 12–24 months of sales history, that significantly improves seasonal analysis quality. We'll note confidence levels based on what you provide.
What format for SKU data?
CSV upload or manual entry in the intake form. We'll show you the exact columns during intake. Minimum: SKU name, current inventory, average monthly demand, lead time. More columns = more precise analysis.
Is my data secure?
Yes. Your SKU data is encrypted in transit and at rest. Never shared with third parties. Each report has a private access token. Data retained 12 months to support versioning, then deleted.
How is this different from my ERP's built-in forecasting?
Most ERP forecasting tools give you a projection number — they don't tell you which SKUs have dangerous stockout risk right now, why your safety stock is miscalibrated, or which items are costing you working capital for no reason. We surface the specific gaps, not just the outputs.
What if I'm not satisfied?
30-day money-back guarantee. If the analysis doesn't surface meaningful inventory risks or actionable insights for your situation, we'll refund in full.